Advances in Applied Probability
Max-linear graphical models with heavy-tailed factors on trees of transitive tournaments
Graphical models with heavy-tailed factors can be used to model extremal dependence or causality between extreme events. In a Bayesian network, variables are recursively defined in terms of their parents according to a directed acyclic graph (DAG). We …
Advances in Applied Probability
A subgeometric convergence formula for finite-level M/G/1-type Markov chains: via a block-decomposition-friendly solution to the Poisson equation of the deviation matrix
The purpose of this study is to present a subgeometric convergence formula for the stationary distribution of the finite-level M/G/1-type Markov chain when taking its infinite-level limit, where the upper boundary level goes to infinity. This study is …
Advances in Applied Probability
Almost sure convergence and second moments of geometric functionals of fractal percolation
We determine almost sure limits of rescaled intrinsic volumes of the construction steps of fractal percolation in for any dimension . We observe a factorization of these limit variables which allows one, in particular, to determine their expectations …
Advances in Applied Probability
An inaccuracy measure between non-explosive point processes with applications to Markov chains
Inaccuracy and information measures based on cumulative residual entropy are quite useful and have received considerable attention in many fields, such as statistics, probability, and reliability theory. In particular, many authors have studied cumulat…
Advances in Applied Probability
The asymptotic tails of limit distributions of continuous-time Markov chains
This paper investigates tail asymptotics of stationary distributions and quasi-stationary distributions (QSDs) of continuous-time Markov chains on subsets of the non-negative integers. Based on the so-called flux-balance equation, we establish identiti…
Advances in Applied Probability
Preservation of mean inactivity time ordering for coherent systems
Preservation of stochastic orders through the system signature has captured the attention of researchers in recent years. Signature-based comparisons have been made for the usual stochastic order, hazard rate order, and likelihood ratio orders. However…
Advances in Applied Probability
Fluctuations of the local times of the self-repelling random walk with directed edges
In 2008, Tóth and Vető defined the self-repelling random walk with directed edges as a non-Markovian random walk on : in this model, the probability that the walk moves from a point of to a given neighbor depends on the number of previous crossings of…
Advances in Applied Probability
Strong convergence of an epidemic model with mixing groups
We consider an SIR (susceptible infective recovered) epidemic in a closed population of size n, in which infection spreads via mixing events, comprising individuals chosen uniformly at random from the population, which occur at the points of a Poisso…
Advances in Applied Probability
Adaptation of a population to a changing environment in the light of quasi-stationarity
We analyze the long-term stability of a stochastic model designed to illustrate the adaptation of a population to variation in its environment. A piecewise deterministic process modeling adaptation is coupled to a Feller logistic diffusion modeling pop…