Advances in Applied Probability
Antithetic multilevel particle filters
In this paper we consider the filtering of partially observed multidimensional diffusion processes that are observed regularly at discrete times. This is a challenging problem which requires the use of advanced numerical schemes based upon time-discret…
Advances in Applied Probability
Convergence of the height process of supercritical Galton–Watson forests with an application to the configuration model in the critical window
We show joint convergence of the Łukasiewicz path and height process for slightly supercritical Galton–Watson forests. This shows that the height processes for supercritical continuous-state branching processes as constructed by Lambert (2002) are the …
Advances in Applied Probability
An extreme worst-case risk measure by expectile
Expectiles have received increasing attention as a risk measure in risk management because of their coherency and elicitability at the level . With a view to practical risk assessments, this paper delves into the worst-case expectile, where only partia…
Advances in Applied Probability
Topological reconstruction of compact supports of dependent stationary random variables
In this paper we extend results on reconstruction of probabilistic supports of independent and identically distributed random variables to supports of dependent stationary -valued random variables. All supports are assumed to be compact of positive rea…
Advances in Applied Probability
Multidimensional random motions with a natural number of finite velocities
We present a detailed analysis of random motions moving in higher spaces with a natural number of velocities. In the case of the so-called minimal random dynamics, under some broad assumptions, we give the joint distribution of the position of the moti…
Advances in Applied Probability
A sufficient condition for the quasipotential to be the rate function of the invariant measure of countable-state mean-field interacting particle systems
This paper considers the family of invariant measures of Markovian mean-field interacting particle systems on a countably infinite state space and studies its large deviation asymptotics. The Freidlin–Wentzell quasipotential is the usual candidate rate…
Advances in Applied Probability
Generalised shot-noise representations of stochastic systems driven by non-Gaussian Lévy processes
We consider the problem of obtaining effective representations for the solutions of linear, vector-valued stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by non-Gaussian pure-jump Lévy processes, and we show how such representations lead to efficient s…
Advances in Applied Probability
On optimal reinsurance in the presence of premium budget constraint and reinsurer’s risk limit
In this paper, we propose two new optimal reinsurance models in which both premium budget constraints and the reinsurer’s risk limits are taken into account. To be precise, we assume that the reinsurance premium has an upper bound, and that the admissi…
Advances in Applied Probability
PDMP Monte Carlo methods for piecewise smooth densities
There has been substantial interest in developing Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms based on piecewise deterministic Markov processes. However, existing algorithms can only be used if the target distribution of interest is differentiable everywhere. …